Probabilistic market intelligence
Rogue Scenarios
Three conditional paths. One evidence stack. No price promises.
Rule engine v0.2Illustrative inputs ยท Recomputed locally
Conviction68/100
Flow strength91/100
Leverage risk79/100
Breadth confirmation36/100
Divergence risk21/100
RegimeSelective expansion
Selected path
Range consolidation
Price digests the squeeze inside a broad range as flows remain constructive but uneven.
Confirmation stack
Volatility contracts
Flows alternate without structural deterioration
Dominance stays firm while breadth lags
Early invalidation
Decisive range expansion with spot confirmation
Material breakdown in demand
Evidence in this path
Breadth 36/100Leverage risk 79/100Selective expansionBlue Rogues boundary
This is a conditional scenario, not a prediction. Its weight changes only when recorded evidence changes.
Model discipline
Every revision leaves a trail.
Inputs10 normalized fields
MethodDocumented rule engine
RevisionFixture v0.2
Inspect the model