Sources, formulas and boundaries

Methodology

Every Blue Rogues conclusion must remain traceable to an observed input, a declared transformation and an explicit analytical boundary.

Source first

Primary datasets and official statements take precedence. Observation time, revision state and provider method travel with the value.

Claims separated

Verified fact, attributed claim, Blue Rogues interpretation and conditional scenario are labeled as different evidence classes.

Revisions preserved

Provider corrections and model updates never silently overwrite the historical record.

Blue Rogues Intelligence · v0.2

Explainable by design.

The initial model is rule-based and intentionally inspectable. It does not claim predictive edge and will remain illustrative until historical validation is completed.

Rogue Attention

Observed attention normalized to 0–100. A signal of interest—not belief or capital.

Conviction

40% spot confirmation + 35% flow strength + 25% breadth confirmation.

Narrative Velocity

45% attention + 35% price momentum + 20% positive sentiment impulse.

Flow Strength

ETF demand and labeled exchange netflow normalized to a 0–100 composite.

Leverage Risk

Liquidation intensity plus directional imbalance; it measures fragility, not direction.

Breadth Confirmation

70% altcoin breadth + 30% inverse BTC dominance normalization.

Divergence Risk

Gap between attention and conviction, adjusted for extreme sentiment.

Evidence lifecycle

01Acquire and timestamp
02Validate and normalize
03Interpret with boundaries
04Build conditional scenarios
05Review, revise and preserve
Inspect Rogue Scenarios

Financial-information boundaryBlue Rogues provides journalism and analytical context, not individualized investment advice or guaranteed outcomes.